For K-State’s first drive, the odds are -105 for a punt, +230 for a touchdown, and +500 for a field goal attempt (as well as +500 for “any other”, which we probably do not wish to see). Iowa State’s numbers here are exactly the same except with only a +270 for an opening touchdown.

Get the best Iowa State vs. Kansas State predictions ahead of Saturday's college football opener. Free college football picks for August 23.

Iowa State has won two straight games against KSU, but the Wildcats come into Dublin as the more mature roster. Johnson has more weapons to lean on, and the defense should take another step with upperclassmen across the lineup, including linebacker Austin Romaine. This game is competitive and close as ever, but Kansas State pulls away late.