At the Met Office, we strive to provide the most accurate and reliable forecasts possible, using advanced techniques that account for uncertainty and variability. One of the most powerful tools in our ...

After years of relative somnolence, the Sun is beginning to stir. By the time it’s fully awake in about 20 months, the team at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland, who are ...

Bracken, C., B. Rajagopalan, and J. Prairie. “A Multisite Seasonal Ensemble Streamflow Forecasting Technique,” Water Resources Research, 46, 2010. Abstract: We present a technique for providing ...

Chinese scientists have developed an AI-physics based ensemble forecast system for typhoons. The system combines China's domestically developed FuXi AI weather model with their proposed Orthogonal ...

When making plans for the weekend, what I want to know is the state of the sky and how much I should commit to those plans.

The atmosphere is a chaotic system, and even negligible initial errors will give rise to gradual deviation of the forecast state from the true path, eventually resulting in chaos. This means that the ...

Ensemble forecasting in hydrology leverages multiple simulations to characterise the uncertainty inherent in rainfall–runoff modelling and streamflow prediction. By combining outputs from distinct ...

The U.S. COVID-19 Forecast Hub, a collaborative research consortium, has generated the most consistently accurate predictions of pandemic deaths at the state and national level, according to a new ...

Leaner, greener flying machines for the year 2025 are on the drawing boards of three industry teams under contract to the NASA Aeronautics Research Mission Directorate's Environmentally Responsible ...