Collectively they indicated that the presidential race would be close, and it appears they got it right without significantly ...

After the collapse of Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s governing coalition, the balloting will be held on Feb. 23, about seven months ...

Exit polls don’t have a very good track record, and they can contribute to misleading narratives on election night.

This guide offers a state-by-state breakdown, with some tips on what results to watch for at each hour of the night.

Maine and Nebraska award two electoral votes to the statewide winner and a single electoral vote to the winner of each ...

Sometimes outliers are early indicators, capturing something other polls just haven’t measured yet. Other times, they’re a ...

Our averages include polls collected by The New York Times and by FiveThirtyEight. The estimates adjust for a variety of ...

As the election dust prepares to settle, patterns are emerging that might provide valuable context in the weeks to come.

These two things are true about the presidential race: The polls currently show Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald J. Trump effectively tied. And close polls do not necessarily ...

Kamala Harris and Donald J. Trump stayed deadlocked to the finish in the final New York Times/Siena College polls of the 2024 ...