The former president fell below a 40 percent chance of winning the election in the latest update to FiveThirtyEight's ...

This year’s presidential election has been polluted with rumors, conspiracy theories and a wave of artificial intelligence ...

The Economist’s forecast model suggests that the state—with its 19 electoral-college votes, the most of any swing state—is ...

Allan Lichtman predicted that Trump would defeat then-Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in 2016, and that President Joe ...

For 2024, 538 has built a new presidential election forecast ... the bias in our fundamentals predictions has tended to counteract bias in the polls; in years like 2020 when the polls ...

Top polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight has rereleased its election forecast model for 2024 on Friday, giving Vice President Kamala ... published on YouTube, made note of the delay with one reading ...

The professor is confident that his method is accurate, calling it 'the constant northern star of political prediction.' ...

Empirically, based on how well it would have done in the 2000-2020 presidential elections, the new 538 forecast is well calibrated for this purpose. But historical back tests aren't the only ...

Former President Donald Trump's election odds are currently -110, giving him a 49.62% chance of winning the election in November. The latest 2024 presidential election predictions on which party ...

As the stretch run begins in the 2024 U.S. presidential election ... has studied election outcomes since 2016 and compared those to the predictions of polling and betting markets.

Table 1: Estimates for popular and Electoral College vote prediction models Note: Based on presidential elections from 1948-2016. Data for 2020 election excluded due to out-of-range value for ...

Astrologers have long claimed to be able to chart the fate of politicians. One advised Ronald and Nancy Reagan ahead of meetings with world leaders. Now astrologers are captivating a new generation.